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6. Shape a new approach to trade
Surveyed businesses rank tariffs and other trade barriers as the third most important drag on Europe’s attractiveness. And when asked where Europe should concentrate its efforts, they ranked reducing trade barriers fourth. However, we collected this data prior to the US announcement of retaliatory import tariffs. Trade concerns would likely be higher on the agenda if the survey had been conducted following the announcement.
Europe should respond to global trade uncertainty in two ways. First, it should seek to reduce barriers to trade within the EU Single Market, which are currently shaving around 10% off potential GDP.8 This includes simplifying and harmonizing regulation across EU Member States, digitizing trade and customs processes, and unifying VAT regimes. Businesses rank Europe’s market size as its greatest competitive advantage, so access to the whole single market is a significant draw.
Second, the EU should seek to boost trade outside the Single Market by simplifying trade compliance requirements, particularly for small businesses. The European Commission could, for example, accelerate reforms to the Union Customs Code (UCC).
The EU could also build trade relationships more widely. Countries that have been adversely impacted by US import tariffs may be newly receptive to partnering with the EU. Europe should also explore nontraditional trade agreements, such as digital trade partnerships and critical mineral agreements.9